Barratt Redrow analyst note

Following its financial update for the 17-week period from 30 June 2025 to 26 October 2025 (the ‘period’), issued on 5 November 2025, the stock is down -4.70% over the week commencing Monday 8th December.

With a strong forward orders book and integrated sales divisions, thanks to the Barratt-Redrow merger completed last year, the company has a clear blueprint for future expansion and is targeting an ambitious number of 22,000 home completions per year.

All comparatives are to the 17-week period from 1 July 2024 to 27 October 2024 unless otherwise stated.

Trading performance 

The forward order book, including joint ventures, totalled at 10,669 as of 27 October 2025, compared to 10,706 homes over the equivalent period of 2024; net value of £3,281.4m for 2025, vs a comparable figure of £3,206.0m in 2024. This indicates that new homes sold have a higher realised value, although the company iterates its commitment to affordable housing, stressing the important role of the government in providing growth-enabling decisions and in timely consideration of planning permission on undeveloped sites.

The company said in a statement coinciding with the earnings report said,

“Based on unchanged guidance for FY26, at 26 October 2025 the Group was 60%3 forward sold with respect to FY26 private home completions (FY25: 62%4 forward sold), of which 64% are either completed or exchanged (FY25: 65%). “

Its land bank is comprised of 87,000 owned plots with an additional 12,300 plots contracted or controlled. It stated its expectation that land acquisition to be in line with replacement levels, alongside a growing ratio of the current level.

As of June 2025, a further additional c.145,000 strategic plots are available for development, “complemented by Gladman’s promotional land portfolio of c. 114,000 plots.”

Including Joint Ventures (JVs), the group posted 228 net private reservations per week, (FY25: 225), with a net private reservation per week of 0.572 (FY24:0.59). operating from a mean of 402 sales outlets (FY 25: 443). Streamlining its operations has been a positive consequence of operational synergies between wholly owned business divisions.

In a forward-looking statement, the group emphasised, “We remain on track to deliver £100m of cost synergies with confirmed synergies now at £80m, an increase of £11m from the £69m confirmed at 29 June 2025. An incremental £45m of cost synergies will be delivered in FY26.”

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